0333 241 9900

News and Articles

An overview with Guy Myles

Investment Committee Update: Reducing Risk

Guy Myles, 15 May 2018

Last month we ran through some of the rationale for including US Treasuries into our portfolios. The position was taken both as means to enhance returns but also reduce risk.

A second and perhaps more significant move we have made in our portfolios this year is to reduce the overall equity exposure. The reduction was not large, amounting to around 3-5% across the portfolios and will help protect investors capital in the event of further falls in markets.

We believe the reduction in risk is warranted for three key reasons.

Firstly, the easy monetary conditions that began in the months after the global financial crisis are coming to an end. The American and British central banks have raised interest rates in recent months, and quantitative easing - the central bank policy that has helped keep bond yields so low - is slowing in Europe and Japan. These easy monetary policies have been a key factor in keeping both bond yields low and fuelling the decade long equity bull rally.

Secondly, economic momentum is showing signs of slowing. The signals are early stage; most forward-looking surveys indicate future growth and we are still a long way from recession. But the signs are there. The US yield curve is flattening - historically a good indicator of tougher times ahead.

Finally, we believe valuations are looking stretched across many equity markets. At 22.7x price to earnings multiple, the US equity market in particular is trading at above fair value levels, and some Asian markets are also frothy. This warrants some caution in our portfolio positioning.

At Flying Colours, we do not attempt to time markets and believe that making short-term predictions are for speculators, not investors. However, for the reasons outlined above we believe taking some risk off the table is a prudent move for our investors.

Guy Myles Chairman, Flying Colours Investment Committee

Categories

Categories: Investment Insights

Related Articles

Q2 Market Review 2018

16 July 2018 / Guy Myles

Investment Committee Update: US Treasuries

26 April 2018 / Guy Myles

Book your free consultation

Friendly, approachable and no pressure

Cookie Preferences

Select the cookies below to help us personalise and enhance your experience on this site. We will remember your choice for 90 day, but you can change your mind at any point by clicking the manage cookies link in the footer of our website.

For more details on the exact cookies we use, please read our privacy policy.

Necessary cookies

These are cookies that are required for the operation of our website. They include, for example, cookies that enable you to log into secure areas of our website and use our services. We also have contractual obligations with paid traffic sources where we are required to provide statistics on conversions. We use cookies to track this.

Always Active

Performance (analytics) cookies

We use performance cookies to gain an understanding of how people discover and navigate our website, and on which type of device. This helps us to improve our website by making informed decisions on real world data.

Targeting cookies

These cookies are set through our site by our advertising partners. They enable us to track the effectiveness of our advertising so that we can target our marketing spend in the most cost efficient way. Some advertising partners may choose to show you adverts on other sites relevant to you based on your browsing.